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Ethanol Drives Ten Year Ag Forecast

WAOB According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s latest projections, ethanol will dominate the farm economy for the next decade.

USDA’s Interagency Agricultural Projections Committee, headed by the World Agricultural Outlook Board, this week released “USDA Agricultural Projections to 2016.” According to the report, “strong expansion of corn-based ethanol production in the projections affects virtually every aspect of the field crops sector, ranging from domestic demand and exports to prices and the allocation of acreage among crops.”

USDA analyst David Stallings says by the year 2009, ethanol will consume 30 percent of US corn production, compared to last year’s 20 percent. He expects acreage to increase to as much as 90 million acres by that year and prices to level off after that.

“We see a fairly rapid increase in corn prices for 2007-08 and 2008-09, and then peaking in 2009-10 at an average farm price of $3.75 per bushel,” said Stallings. They don’t expect corn prices to drop below $3.00 a bushel for the next decade.

Saab Gives 100 Percent a Go

Saab 100 Saab plans to unveil a 100 percent bioethanol-powered engine in Geneva next month.

According to a news release:

GM Powertrain CEO Kjell ac Bergstrom said: ‘Bioethanol is a potent, high-quality fuel which opens up exciting possibilities in helping to meet the environmental challenges that face us. As the need to reduce energy consumption increases, we are exploring ways to run smaller engines that give relatively high power, with and without hybrid technology. This concept car shows that bioethanol can play a key role in this “right-sizing” process, while also minimizing fossil fuel emissions.’

Louis Dreyfus Buys More Brazilian Ethanol Plants

International commodity trading company Louis Dreyfus is buying an addition four sugar ethanol mills in Brazil to become the second-biggest sugarcane processor in the country.

According to a Bloomberg.com report, Paris-based Louis Dreyfus, which already owns four sugar and ethanol mills in Brazil, expects the acquisition to boost sugarcane processing to 18.5 million metric tons by 2009, from 11.8 million tons this year, the company said in a statement. Financial terms of the acquisition weren’t disclosed.

More E85 Pumps for Colorado

Ritter Colorado motorists will soon have 40 more pumps to fill up with 85 percent ethanol.

According to a press release from Colorado Governor Bill Ritter’s office, 40 new E85 fuel pumps will open at 22 gas stations around this state this year, thanks to an effort by General Motors to expand the availability of the ethanol blend.

In addition to General Motors’ national effort, the Colorado expansion has been spearheaded by the Colorado E85 Coalition, a group of private companies, non-profit organizations, and government agencies dedicated to increasing Colorado’s use of renewable fuels. Two Colorado retailers, Pester Marketing and Western Convenience, will be installing E85 pumps in a total of 22 stations statewide with assistance from the Colorado E85 Coalition.

Company Announces “100% Green” Biofuels Technology

Diversified Arizona-based Diversified Energy, has announced a “breakthrough biofuels technology” that they say “offers a “100% green” biofuel product containing no fossil fuel components.”

According to a company release, the patent-pending process, termed Centia™, “provides several key advantages when compared with other biofuel processes like biodiesel, ethanol and others.”

Centia™, a name derived from Crudus Potentia (meaning “green power” in Latin), can utilize feedstock oils from edible and inedible animal fats, waste oils, agriculture crops like soybean, algae, newly proposed energy crops, or any other lipid-based feedstock.

Diversified is developing Centia through an exclusive worldwide licensing agreement with North Carolina State University.

Deere Profits Run on Ethanol

DeereDeere & Company announced worldwide net income of $238.7 million, or $1.04 per share, for the first quarter ended January 31, compared with $235.9 million, or $0.99 per share, for the same period last year, according to a company release.

Strong operating performance and a positive customer response to the company’s advanced products and services contributed to the quarter’s results, noted Robert W. Lane, chairman and chief executive officer. “This success puts the company in a stronger position to serve a growing customer base worldwide. In conjunction with increasing demand for renewable fuels and other positive global economic factors, it also strengthens our ability to deliver strong financial results,” said Lane.

According to an AP report, “analysts credited Deere’s rosier forecast and stock surge to rising production of corn-based ethanol, which has yielded high grain prices that give farmers more money to invest in equipment.”

Ethanol Not to Blame for Tortilla Prices

TolmanRising tortilla prices in Mexico are not the result of increased U.S. ethanol production or U.S. corn prices, according to the CEO of the National Corn Growers Association.

Rick Tolman told grain and livestock producers meeting in central Missouri Wednesday that lots of things are being blamed on ethanol that are undeserved and one of them is the price of tortillas in Mexico.

“There’s a quarter of a cent’s worth of corn in a tortilla. You double the price of corn, it goes up to a half cent,” said Tolman. “The reality is that tortilla prices are going up in Mexico because they have a tariff rate quota system that’s a supply system. We export yellow corn, tortillas are made from white corn, they control imports of white corn. They have mismanaged that and they have supply issues. That’s why the tortilla prices have gone up, not because of ethanol.”

Tolman was in Jefferson City, Missouri for a Missouri Corn Growers Association meeting on “Profiting in the New Paradigm: Feed and Fuel Security in the Booming Ethanol Age.”

Listen to his presentation here: Listen To MP3 Rick Tolman (25:00 min MP3)

Loan Guarentee Process Holds Up First Cellulosic Ethanol Plant

Iogen Back in June, Canadian biotechnology company Iogen was waiting on loan guarantees from the U.S. Department of Energy to build a $500 million cellulosic ethanol plant in Idaho.

The company is still waiting, according to a report from McLatchey Newspapers.

According to the article, the loan guarentee is being held up because the U.S. Department of Energy office in charge of the process has only one employee and there’s no money to hire more staff to deal with the more than 100 applications that have been submitted so far.

Congress authorized the Department of Energy to back loans for new energy technologies “a year and a half ago,” said Jeff Passmore, Iogen’s executive vice president, “and we still don’t have a loan guarantee initiative up and running. That’s disappointing.”

The company has everything in place to break ground in Shelley, about 10 miles from Idaho Falls, including equity from such investors as Shell Oil. But it can’t close on an approximately $200 million loan without a government-backed loan guarantee.

Biodiesel Heating Up in Brazil

Carnaval (Mardi Gras) is not the only hot thing in Brazil at this time of year. A U.S. firm is investing $35 million dollars in Brazil’s burgeoning biodiesel industry. Check out this story from CattleNetwork.com:

“We are going to build a facility capable of producing 28 million gallons of biodiesel from soy and sunflower oils,” said Tyler Bruch, president and chief executive of Global Ag Investments. “We’ll have the crushing capacity built on our property so we’re not at the mercy of buying oils from the large multinationals. Plus we’ll have our own biodiesel plant.”

So will it pay off? Well, the article goes on to say that an accounting firm in Rio pegs the return on investment at 40%.

BrazilPrez11.JPG You might remember my post earlier this month where the President of Brazil attended the opening of the country’s biggest biodiesel mill. (See photo of the event on the right). And Cindy reported last week about how the U.S. and Brazil are seeking an ethanol partnership. Looks like plenty is afoot in the alternative fuels biz way south of the border.

New California Ethanol Plant Announced

A New York-based ethanol company plans to build a second plant in California – its fifth currently in the works.

According to an AP report, economic development officials in California’s Kern County announced that U.S. Ethanol Holdings LLC plans to build a $200 million plant in Wasco with the capacity to produce 100 million gallons of ethanol per year.

U.S. Ethanol has four other plants under development in Indiana and Illinois. Construction on the Wasco plant is planned to begin later this year.

Vilsack Gives Energy Speech

Vilsack Democratic presidential candidate Tom Vilsack, former governor of Iowa, unveiled his plan for energy security during a speech in San Francisco Tuesday.

According to an Associated Press report, Vilsack set out a seven-part plan for achieving his goal to “dramatically reduce energy imports and dramatically reduce carbon emissions.” That plan would include a reduction in greenhouse gases produced by the United States by 2050, principally through a mandatory “cap and trade” program among businesses and other institutions.

Vilsack would also require a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by automobiles, more cellulosic ethanol research, and strive to make the nation’s whole transportation system “virtually petroleum-free.”

E85 Promo Items

NEVC stuff The National Ethanol Vehicle Coalition has a number of great promo items to show your support for domestically-produced ethanol, including five brand new additions.

Among them are two bumper stickers with the statements “This vehicle is CornFed, E85” and “Ethanol Guzzler,” available in small and large sizes.

NEVC stuffThe round “I Drive E85, the future of Clean Air” magent is big enough to make a statement, yet small enough to fit tastefully over the outside of a vehicle’s fuel door.

NEVC stuffThere are also coffee mugs, hats, clings, key rings and more available to order on-line here.

But my personal favorite has to be the Calvin decal. That just says it all.

Ethanol Conference Anticipates Record Crowd

"RFA The 12th Annual National Ethanol Conference next week is expecting a record 2,000 industry leaders and experts to discuss and shape the future of the U.S. ethanol industry.

"Building New Horizons" is the theme for the conference being held Feburary 19-21 in Tucson, Arizona. Much is on the agenda for the policy and marketing conference, from "Understanding the RFS Program" to "How Long, How Much and How So for Cellulosic Fuel Ethanol?" Highlighted speakers include EPA Administrator Stephen Johnson, Bobby Rahal of Rahal Letterman Racing, and Congressmen Collin Peterson (D-MN) and Kenny Hulshof (R-MO).

"RFA" Registration for the conference has already reached capacity and is officially closed, although there is a waiting list. But Domestic Fuel reporter Chuck Zimmerman will be on hand to cover the event live and post all of the happenings on to the official Ethanol Conference Blog and highlights here on Domestic Fuel, sponsored by the Renewable Fuels Association.

Raleigh, N.C.-Area Rental Car Firms Slash Prices for Holidays.

Knight Ridder/Tribune Business News November 27, 2001 By Chris Serres, The News & Observer, Raleigh, N.C. Knight Ridder/Tribune Business News Nov. 27–For travelers still wary of boarding airplanes, there is some good news: Rates are plunging on car rentals.

In an effort to kick-start slumping sales, auto rental companies are offering steep discounts — as much as 35 percent — on vehicles rented during the holiday season. Almost anyone renting between now and the new year can find compact cars for less than $30 a day and minivans for less than $50 a day.

But industry analysts say the low rates might not last long. Rental car companies have been dumping thousands of vehicles in an effort to cut costs and reduce the number of idle cars sitting on their lots. As the supply of available autos declines, rental car companies will have more leverage to raise rates again. in our site 2001 ford focus

“If you’re looking for a bargain, now’s the time to do it,” said Sherb Brown, publisher of Auto Rental News, a trade magazine based in Torrance, Calif.

Triangle Rent A Car, a Raleigh-based company with 20 locations and 4,000 vehicles in the Carolinas, recently cut its weekend rate (Friday through Monday) on compact cars rented from its location at the Raleigh-Durham International Airport to $25 a day from $37.99 a day. Hertz is charging just $20 a day for those renting compact cars between Dec. 20 and Dec. 25 at all its locations. Customers visiting Thrifty can rent a compact car for $26.99 a day, versus the company’s normal rate of $39.99 a day.

Even car dealerships that rent cars are getting in on the act. On Dec. 7, Capital Ford Rental will cut rates by 20 percent on all 240 vehicles at its lot on Millbrook Road in Raleigh. Customers can rent a 2001 Ford Focus for $23.16 a day and a Ford Windstar for $47.96 a day. The lower rates will be in effect through Jan. 2, but they could last longer if business doesn’t pick up.

Rental companies hope the rate-slashing will stimulate business, which skidded to a halt immediately after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

Rental-car use, which is closely tied to air travel, fell 50 percent compared to the previous year in the two weeks immediately following the attacks, according to Moody’s Investors Service, a debt-rating agency based in New York. As air travel resumed, car rentals started to pick up — but they still remain 20 percent to 30 percent below the levels seen a year ago.

On Nov. 13, the nation’s fourth-largest rental car company, ANC Rental of Fort Lauderdale, Fla., filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The company, which owns Alamo Rent A Car and National Car Rental, cited the “tremendous toll” caused by the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks as the primary reason for the bankruptcy filing. The company continues to operate, and consumers who have rented cars with National or Alamo are unaffected.

The magnitude of the slump surprised Charlie Bruce, director of rentals at Capital Ford, which didn’t get a single reservation in the two weeks following Sept. 11.

“I used to think this industry was recession-proof,” said Bruce, who has been renting cars for 28 years. “Even in bad times, folks were going places or renting cars because they needed repairs. But since [the terrorist] attacks happened, people are acting funny. They’re just not driving like they used to.” And the decline could not have come at a worse time. September and October are when many rental-car companies receive delivery of new cars ordered in the spring and summer. As a result, many companies were stuck with too many cars — especially the small, compact variety — precisely when people stopped traveling.

So instead of letting these cars sit idle, rental-car companies have started selling them to used-car lots or at auctions. Nationwide, auto rental companies unloaded between 450,000 and 650,000 cars through the first 10 months of the year, which represents 23 percent to 35 percent of their total supply, according to Auto Rental News. this web site 2001 ford focus

Rent A Wreck of Raleigh has sold one-third of its fleet, or 40 of its 140 vehicles, to used car lots and individuals in the Triangle. “When we’re not renting `em, we’re selling `em,” said Don Brusca, owner of the Rent A Wreck lot at 4201 Capital Blvd. “We can’t afford to pay loans on cars that are just sitting there, not earning money.” Others are delaying orders of new cars from manufacturers. For instance, Triangle Rent A Car ordered just 400 new vehicles this fall, down from 1,300 a year ago. As the company gets rid of some of its older-model vehicles, its fleet will get smaller, said Frank Colonna, president of Triangle Rent A Car.

“Sometimes a half a loaf is better than a full one,” said Colonna, “if it means remaining profitable.” But smaller fleets mean higher rates, warns Auto Rental News’ Brown. As business and leisure travel regains its pre-Sept. 11 levels, a larger number of travelers will be vying for a smaller number of cars. That will give rental car agencies room to raise rates, Brown said: “It’s the laws of supply and demand at work.” HRZ, DTG, F, ANCX,

Chevy Shoots for Sequel Debut in 2010

A heads up from our friends at Engadget.com… GM wants to debut a production version of the Sequel… the latest generation fuel cell vehicle using lithium-ion batteries to produce kinetic energy from simply braking and a third-generation General Motors fuel cell. This from Engadget.com:

SequelThe Sequel shares traits aplenty with GM’s Chevy Volt, specifically the shared electric motor for the front wheels, with in-hub motors for both rear wheels.

And AutoblogGreen says:

Most likely GM will follow a model similar to the one Honda will be using starting in 2008 for the production version of the FCX. The FCX will be built initially in low volumes with availability limited to locations that have some hydrogen filling stations such as California and Florida.

There are two prototypes of the Sequel already under testing. A large-scale field trial of the technology begins this year with 100 outfitted Chevy Equinoxes hitting the road.

Companies Merge for Cellulosic Technology

Bioenergy Solutions Diversa Corporation and Celunol Corp. have merged to “create a new leader in the emerging cellulosic ethanol industry.”

According to a press release, the combined company will be the first within the cellulosic ethanol industry to possess integrated end-to-end capabilities in pre-treatment, novel enzyme development, fermentation, engineering, and project development. It will seek to build a global enterprise as a leading producer of cellulosic ethanol and as a strategic partner in bio-refineries around the world. At the same time, the company will continue to pursue broad market opportunities for specialty industrial enzymes within the areas of alternative fuels, specialty industrial processes, and health and nutrition, with a primary focus on enzymes for the production of biofuels. The combined company will be headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts and have research and operations facilities in San Diego, California; Jennings, Louisiana; and Gainesville, Florida.